Fortnite – Genesis.

A new breed of digital ecosystem may rise. Fortnite is showing early signs of expanding from gaming and offering other Digital Life services leading to the possibility that it could become a digital ecosystem in its own right. Fortnite is a hugely popular massively multiplayer online (MMO) game where players typically fight each other to the death with the last...

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Apple Siri – Nose job.

The privacy religion may prevent the AI fix. In stamping his authority on Apple’s AI efforts, John Giannandrea has an opportunity to fix the problems that are plaguing Siri but runs the risk of running up against Apple’s deepening religion on privacy. The head of Apple Siri has (been?) moved into another role completing the rout of the old guard,...

Facebook Q4 18 – No-one cares.

Facebook users & clients don’t seem to care about its’ issues. Facebook reported good Q4 18 results confirming that its users and its clients do not seem to care about the privacy issues that have tied up the media and regulators up in knots during 2018. Hence Facebook’s real problem remains AI which is responsible for its falling profitability where...

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Apple FQ1 19 – Nice but dull.

Apple is looking like a safe haven once again. Hardware is by far the most efficient method of digital ecosystem monetisation but at the same time, it is also the riskiest, meaning that when it goes wrong, it really hurts. Furthermore, Apple’s hardware is so profitable that it will find it virtually impossible to replace hardware profits with services, leading...

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Google Automotive – Wobbly wheels

Android Automotive is far from a foregone conclusion. Google clearly still thinks of vehicles as nothing more than handsets on wheels which I think is the reason why products that were supposed to use it do not and why the software was conspicuously absent at what is now the world’s biggest car show, CES. Google has put a brave face on...

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Facebook – The obvious move

Integration benefit overshadowed by AI. After a long 4½ year wait, Facebook is finally integrating its Digital Life services that will enable it to meaningfully improve the service that offers as well as well as the targeting that it applies to its advertisements. It will also make the company more opaque and difficult to break-apart from a regulatory standpoint. Facebook’s...

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Google vs. Amazon – Battle for the smart home pt . XIII

Google increasingly at risk of losing. Walmart has abandoned Google Express dealing what is likely to be a fatal blow to Google’s attempt to challenge Amazon in the one place where its’ performance is inferior in the smart home. There has been no formal announcement, but Google Express has admitted on Twitter that Walmart is no longer on its website....

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Sharing economy – China bloodbath.

Didi in pole position but should not rush to IPO. The Mobike brand is about to disappear in yet another sign that while the sharing economy offers great deals to its users, earning a return from it is fiendishly difficult. This is a major global trend that I expect to play out with increasing volume during 2019 and uniquely leaves...

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Network economy – Unicorns and Donkeys Pt. VI

2019 will be the year of the shake-out. With a darker economic picture and shrinking access to capital, 2019 is shaping up to be a year where the donkeys (see here) are forced out meaning that 2020 could be the year where the unicorns finally start making some money. No sub-segment of tech is likely to be immune as the...

Facebook – The foot vote.

Facebook must entice users not to disengage. Facebook’s future is going to be determined by whether users uncomfortable with being tracked disengage from using Facebook services. So far, the data is indicating that almost no one has walked meaning that Facebook should be fine once it has weathered the seemingly endless bad press. Data from PEW research indicates that most...

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